A Pump.fun token airdropped to a famous trader’s wallet is up tens of thousands of percent in days. Here is the honest version: this is a high-risk memecoin with no product, and most tokens like it go to zero.
Summary
- The Black Bull (ANSEM) is a Solana memecoin launched on Pump.fun in mid-June 2026, trading near $0.13 with a market cap around $56 million after a move of roughly 26,000% in a week.
- The token was not created by the trader it is named after. An anonymous developer airdropped a large share of the supply to the wallet of Ansem, a well-known Solana influencer, who later embraced it rather than launching his own coin.
- There is no product, roadmap, team, or revenue behind the token. Its price is driven entirely by attention, one influencer’s involvement, and speculative trading, which makes it a casino bet, not an investment.
- On-chain analysis tools have flagged manipulation risk and heavy holder concentration; liquidity is thin relative to the market cap, and the trader associated with it has faced market-manipulation allegations.
- Third-party forecasts that exist for ANSEM are wide and speculative, spanning roughly $0.03 to $0.25, and the most realistic base case for any token of this type is a sharp drawdown, with a real chance of going to near zero.
Before anything else, the blunt version. The Black Bull, traded under the ticker ANSEM, is a memecoin. It has no underlying business, no cash flows, and no roadmap that would anchor a valuation. Its price exists because a famous trader is associated with it and the internet is paying attention.
Tokens like this can produce life-changing gains and total losses inside the same week, and the overwhelming majority of Pump.fun launches lose nearly all their value, many within a single day. Any “price prediction” for an asset like this is closer to handicapping a roulette spin than forecasting a company. Read the rest with that frame fixed in place.
This piece explains what The Black Bull actually is, the numbers behind its move, why it is a casino rather than an investment, the bull thesis stated fairly, the specific ways it could go to zero, what the few forecasters tracking it say, and then bull, base, and bear scenarios. It closes with a short FAQ.
What The Black Bull (ANSEM) actually is
The Black Bull is a Solana token launched on Pump.fun, the memecoin launchpad, around June 16 to 17, 2026, with the on-chain contract address ending in “pump” as Pump.fun tokens do. The story that gave it life is specific. An anonymous developer created the token and airdropped a large portion of the supply, by some accounts around 65%, directly to the wallet of Ansem, a prominent Solana trader and influencer also known by the handle blknoiz06, whose real name is Zion Thomas. Ansem is one of the best-known memecoin personalities on Solana, with roughly a million followers and a reputation as an early caller of tokens like WIF and BONK.
Crucially, Ansem did not create the token, and it is not officially his project. The developer essentially bet that putting the supply in a famous wallet would manufacture attention. It worked. Rather than dump the airdrop or launch a competing coin of his own, Ansem leaned in, reportedly pledging to airdrop creator fees back to holders instead of cashing out, and his wallet holds a very large position, on the order of 600 million tokens that at points represented the bulk of his visible on-chain portfolio. That alignment, a recognizable figure with skin in the game, is the entire bull narrative. It is also the entire risk, because the token’s fate is tethered to one person’s continued involvement.
The numbers behind the move
As of late June 2026, ANSEM trades near $0.13, having reached a peak around $0.14 on June 29. The 7-day move was roughly 26,000%, the kind of figure that only appears in freshly launched memecoins coming off a near-zero base. The market cap sits around $56 million, with roughly 410 million of a 1 billion total supply in circulation, implying a fully diluted valuation closer to $136 million. The token ranks somewhere around #374 by market cap, and daily trading volume has run between roughly $60 million and $94 million, which against a $56 million cap produces a volume-to-market-cap ratio above 2.
That ratio is itself a warning light: it means the token turns over its entire value more than twice a day, the signature of frantic speculative churn rather than steady holding. ANSEM trades across venues including PumpSwap and Meteora on Solana, with perpetual futures listed on some offshore exchanges such as MEXC and others, and it has appeared as a verified token on Solana interfaces like Jupiter and Phantom. The presence of leveraged perps on a token this young amplifies the volatility in both directions, because liquidations can cascade fast when the price moves.
These numbers describe a token in the most volatile possible phase of its life. The percentage gains are real, and so is the fragility underneath them.
Why this is a casino, not an investment
This section is the heart of the piece, and it is deliberately heavier than the bull case, because the risks here are not footnotes. They are the main event.
First, there is nothing to value. ANSEM has no product, no revenue, no roadmap, and no team in the conventional sense. There is no cash flow to discount, no user base to grow, no utility that creates demand for the token beyond speculation. Its price is a pure function of attention and belief, both of which can evaporate without warning.
Second, on-chain analysis has flagged it. Token-screening tools such as Rugcheck have raised manipulation warnings tied to supply concentration in wallets that are not clearly identified. Heavy concentration means a small number of holders could move the price violently or exit into the liquidity that retail buyers provide. Thin liquidity relative to the market cap compounds this: when real liquidity is shallow, a few large sells can collapse the price far faster than the order book suggests.
Third, the person at the center carries his own controversy. The trader associated with the token has faced market-manipulation allegations in the broader memecoin context, which adds reputational and regulatory risk to an asset whose entire thesis rests on his involvement. If he steps back, sells, or is forced to distance himself, the narrative that supports the price can vanish.
Fourth, the base rate is brutal. The large majority of Pump.fun memecoins lose almost all their value, frequently within hours or days of launch. Survivorship bias makes the winners loud and the thousands of dead tokens silent. Treating ANSEM as likely to be one of the rare survivors, instead of one of the many that fade, is the single most common and most expensive mistake buyers of tokens like this make.
Put together, these are not reasons to never touch a memecoin. They are reasons to size any exposure as money one is fully prepared to lose, and to never confuse a fast chart with a sound investment.
The bull thesis, stated fairly
For balance, the case the buyers make deserves a fair hearing, even inside a risk-first frame. The bull argument has 3 legs. The first is reach: Ansem commands a large, engaged audience, and in memecoins, attention is the scarce resource that drives price. A token he is actively associated with has a built-in distribution advantage that most launches never get.
The second is alignment. By reportedly pledging to route creator fees back to holders instead of launching a separate token to cash in, Ansem signaled that his incentives point in the same direction as the people holding the coin, at least for now. In a category defined by developers dumping on their communities, an influencer choosing to share fees is a comparatively constructive signal.
The third is the Solana memecoin meta itself. Solana has repeatedly produced memecoins that ran far longer and higher than skeptics expected, and the ecosystem’s culture, low fees, and fast launches keep the speculative engine fed. In a market where attention rotates quickly, a token with a recognizable face and an active community can sustain a narrative longer than a faceless launch.
None of this changes the absence of fundamentals. The bull case is a bet that attention and alignment persist long enough to matter, which is a real but fragile proposition.
What could make it go to zero
The bear mechanics are concrete and worth naming, because they are the most probable outcome for tokens of this kind. Concentration is the first: if large holders, identified or not, decide to sell into the thin liquidity, the price can fall faster than buyers can react, and early entrants exit at the expense of late ones. Liquidity withdrawal is the second: if liquidity providers pull their positions, the token can become nearly untradeable at anything close to the quoted price.
Narrative death is the third and most likely slow killer. Memecoins live on attention, and attention is finite. When the crowd rotates to the next launch, volume dries up, the chart bleeds, and the token drifts toward irrelevance even without a dramatic crash. Copycats accelerate this, as the inevitable wave of imitation tokens splits the speculative capital and dilutes the original’s mindshare. Finally, the single-person dependency is the acute risk: if Ansem sells, goes quiet, or is forced to distance himself for legal or reputational reasons, the one pillar holding up the price is removed, and there is nothing fundamental left to catch it.
Any one of these can take a token like this down by 80% or more in short order, and several can combine. This is not a tail risk for ANSEM. It is the central scenario that any honest forecast has to treat as the base case.
What forecasters say
A handful of exchange-affiliated outlets have published speculative ANSEM ranges, and they should be read as guesses about a chaotic asset, not as analysis grounded in fundamentals, because there are no fundamentals to ground them in. These are 3rd-party figures, not endorsements.
Some short-term models from venues such as WEEX have sketched a near-term base band roughly between $0.085 and $0.135, a momentum upside toward $0.15 to $0.18 if attention holds, and a downside toward $0.06 to $0.075 if it fades. Broader 2026 ranges floated by outlets including BTCC and WEEX span roughly $0.03 to $0.25. The width of these ranges, a possible multiple up or a collapse of more than half, is the most honest thing about them: it concedes that the outcome is dominated by reflexive sentiment, not by anything that can be modeled. For an asset like this, the error bars are the message.
The pattern this fits: influencer memecoins before ANSEM
The Black Bull is not the first token to run on a famous name, and the history of the pattern is the most useful guide to its likely path. Solana has produced a long line of influencer-linked and celebrity memecoins, some tied to the same callers who built reputations on early WIF and BONK trades. The recurring shape is familiar: a token attaches itself to a recognizable figure, attention floods in, the price goes parabolic on a near-zero base, and a wave of buyers arrives late expecting the early gains to repeat. What happens next sorts almost entirely on whether attention and the figure’s involvement persist.
The brutal majority outcome is decay. Most of these tokens fade within days or weeks as the crowd rotates to the next launch, leaving holders who bought the peak deeply underwater. A small number sustain a community and trade sideways at a fraction of their high for longer. A rare few extend into something more durable, and those are the cases the next round of buyers remembers, which is exactly how survivorship bias keeps the cycle turning. The honest framing is that ANSEM is drawing from the same deck, and the base rates for that deck are unforgiving.
What makes The Black Bull slightly different from a faceless launch is the creator-fee airdrop dynamic, which gives the central figure a reason to stay engaged instead of dumping immediately. That can extend the attention window. It does not change the category math.
An influencer can prolong a memecoin’s life, but no influencer has reliably prevented the eventual reversion that defines the type. Treating ANSEM as exempt from that pattern, because this time the figure seems aligned, is the precise belief that has separated late buyers from their money in every prior cycle.
If you choose to speculate anyway
This is not a recommendation to buy ANSEM or any memecoin. But because people will trade tokens like this regardless of warnings, the harm-reduction principles that disciplined speculators apply are worth stating plainly, since they are the difference between a survivable loss and a damaging one.
The first principle is sizing. Money committed to an asset like this should be money one can lose in full without affecting rent, savings, or obligations, because total loss is a realistic outcome, not a worst case. The second is that the position should be treated as already gone the moment it is opened, which removes the emotional pressure that leads people to average down into a falling token or chase it higher. The third is that taking profits on the way up is the only way speculative gains become real; a paper gain in a token with thin liquidity is not a realized gain until it is sold, and the same shallow liquidity that let the price spike can prevent an exit at the quoted price on the way down.
The fourth principle is to distrust leverage entirely here. The presence of perpetual futures on a token this young and this volatile is a fast path to liquidation, because the swings that make memecoins exciting also trigger margin calls in minutes.
The fifth is to verify instead of assume: checking the contract, the liquidity, and the holder concentration before committing, instead of trusting a chart or a name. None of this makes a memecoin a sound investment. It makes the gamble less likely to cause real damage, which is the most honest advice anyone can give about an asset with no fundamentals.
Bull, base, and bear scenarios for ANSEM
These scenarios are illustrative and speculative. For a memecoin with no fundamentals, they describe possible paths driven by attention and holder behavior, not valuations. The bear case is weighted as the most probable, consistent with how tokens of this type typically resolve.
Bull case
In the bull scenario, Ansem stays actively involved, the creator-fee airdrops keep holders engaged, and the Solana memecoin meta stays hot enough to keep attention flowing. Volume holds, new buyers keep arriving faster than early holders exit, and the token sustains or extends its level, pushing toward the upper speculative bands near $0.15 to $0.25 that the most optimistic 3rd-party ranges describe. This case requires attention to persist, concentration not to unwind, and no reputational or regulatory shock to the figure at its center. It is possible, and in memecoins it does happen, but it is the minority outcome.
Base case
In the base scenario, the initial frenzy cools as it almost always does. Volume fades from its launch peak, the chart gives back a large portion of the parabolic move, and the token settles into a lower, choppier range, perhaps the $0.06 to $0.13 zone, while it searches for whether a durable community remains after the hype. From there it either grinds out a smaller, attention-dependent existence or slowly bleeds lower as the crowd moves on. Even this “survives but deflates” path involves a substantial drawdown from the peak for anyone who bought the top.
Bear case
In the bear scenario, which is the most likely for a token of this kind, the attention rotates away, concentration unwinds into thin liquidity, or the single-person narrative breaks. The price falls 80% or more from its highs and continues toward near zero as volume disappears, joining the large majority of Pump.fun launches that do not survive. A liquidity pull, a large holder exit, a wave of copycats, or the central figure stepping back are each sufficient to trigger this, and they often compound. Anyone holding into this scenario should expect to lose most or all of the position.
Frequently Asked Questions
Did Ansem create The Black Bull token?
No. The token was created by an anonymous developer who airdropped a large share of the supply to Ansem’s wallet to attract attention. Ansem, the Solana trader also known as blknoiz06, did not launch it, and it is not officially his project. He later embraced it and reportedly pledged to share creator fees with holders, but the origin was a 3rd party using his name and wallet.
Why has ANSEM risen so much?
The move, roughly 26,000% in a week, reflects a freshly launched memecoin coming off a near-zero base combined with the attention of a well-known influencer. There is no product or revenue driving it. The price is a function of speculation, social momentum, and one person’s involvement, which is exactly why it can reverse just as violently.
Is The Black Bull a safe investment?
No. It is a high-risk memecoin with no fundamentals, flagged manipulation and concentration risk, thin liquidity, and a price dependent on a single person’s involvement. The large majority of tokens like it lose nearly all their value. It should be treated as a speculative gamble with money one is fully prepared to lose entirely, not as an investment.
What are the biggest risks?
The biggest risks are holder concentration selling into thin liquidity, liquidity providers withdrawing, attention rotating away and the narrative dying, copycat tokens splitting interest, and the central figure selling or stepping back for legal or reputational reasons. Any one can cause an 80%-plus decline, and they often combine.
What price targets do forecasters give?
Speculative 3rd-party ranges from exchange-affiliated outlets span roughly $0.03 to $0.25 for 2026, with short-term bands near $0.06 to $0.18. These are guesses about a chaotic, sentiment-driven asset, not fundamentals-based analysis. The wide ranges reflect that the outcome cannot be modeled with any confidence.
What is the most likely outcome?
For a memecoin of this type, the most likely outcome is a sharp drawdown from the peak, with a meaningful chance of trending toward near zero as attention fades. A minority of such tokens sustain a smaller community-driven existence, and a rare few extend higher. Betting on the rare outcome is the most common and costly mistake.
Disclaimer: This article is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Memecoins are extremely high-risk, speculative assets with no underlying value, and most lose nearly all of their value. Prices are highly volatile, and the figures here, accurate as of June 30, 2026, will change rapidly. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely, and consider consulting a licensed professional before making financial decisions.
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